The black swan (Heftet)
the impact of the highly improbable
Forfatter:
| Forfatter: | Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| Innbinding: | Heftet |
| Utgivelsesår: | 2011 |
| Forlag: | Penguin |
| Språk: | Engelsk |
| ISBN/EAN: | 9780141034591 |
Omtale The black swan
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.